FanBoardHQ

South Carolina

University of South Carolina · 2023 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#68
Efficiency
+5.0
46th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
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South Carolina went 5-7 and was ranked 68th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 42nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 50th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 59% of offensive plays with a 34th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 41% of plays with a 78th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
73rd
-2.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
21st
full season
21st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
14th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs North CarolinaACC#40L 1731-2.90%-6.5Q2
2vs FurmanSouthernW 4721+20.2100%10.1Q4
3@ GeorgiaSEC#5L 1424-23.30%16.6Q1
4vs Mississippi StateSEC#76W 3730+12.0100%1.4Q4
5@ TennesseeSEC#19L 2041-11.50%2.6Q1
7vs FloridaSEC#66L 3941+3.60%1.8Q3
8@ MissouriSEC#8L 1234-16.20%-1.4Q1
9@ Texas A&MSEC#38L 1730-12.10%4.3Q1
10vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#62W 3828+10.8100%3.1Q4
11vs VanderbiltSEC#120W 476+19.0100%20.5Q4
12vs KentuckySEC#41W 1714+0.6100%7.3Q3
13vs ClemsonACC#24L 716-3.70%-0.6Q2

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on South Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-4.3+7.0+18.4-61017132-143217-1Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 34th
SR 28thYPP 45thEPA 32nd
RushingEff 78th
SR 55thYPP 68thEPA 88th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 42nd
SR 44thYPP 55thEPA 40th
Rush defenseEff 40th
SR 70thYPP 26thEPA 47th
Dropback rate 59%Tempo +4.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 46th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 97.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 73.0Q2 · Allowed: 98.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 61.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 71.0Q4 · Allowed: 64.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSouth CarolinaOffenseDefense
South Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 50th
+1.2
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +0.7
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +0.7= +1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 43rd · Finishing 55th

Defensive EffRanked 42nd
+3.0
Field position: +0.1Finishing drives: +2.9
Field position +0.1Finishing drives +2.9= +3.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 62nd · Finishing 45th

1.90 points per drive on offense, 1.79 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(201)51% / 49%49%6.9
Q2(199)62% / 38%39%5.0
Q3(167)56% / 44%39%6.9
Q4(201)65% / 35%38%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(168)10.054%8.5
2nd(145)9.743%7.0
3rd(122)8.733%4.9
4th(16)8.119%4.4
All (451)43%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(172)9.934%4.7
2nd(103)7.840%4.2
3rd(35)6.149%5.6
4th(7)2.186%7.6
All (317)38%4.7

South Carolina, all games.